atomic_fungus (atomic_fungus) wrote,
atomic_fungus
atomic_fungus

#3983: All I've got is Obamacare and Climatology

...and "it is a tedious thing to tell a tale already plainly told," not that that ever stops me.

Obamacare:

The success of Obamacare depends on young people making decisions which are detrimental to their personal economies.
Bloomberg stipulates that an ObamaCare policy will, at least for the young, be expensive (they are "least capable of affording it") and offer minimal benefit (they are "least likely to use it"). You can't "see the value" of such a proposition, because it's a bad deal.
Ah, the hallmark of socialism! The success of socialism always depends on making people do things which are anathema to human nature--such as paying lots and lots of money you don't really have to for something you don't really need all that much except for dire emergencies while being told that what you're doing is some approximation of "affordable".

*

Let me say it again: when it's all said and done and the results are tallied, Obamacare will be the biggest tax increase in history, bar none.

*

Don't worry about Republicans defunding it, either. It's not going to happen. The GOP wants Obamacare almost as much as the Democrats do.

* * *

Just a reminder: there is no such thing as principled opposition to Obama; only racism.
Years ago South Park parodied the Comedy Stylings of Whoopie Goldberg by depicting her on stage and saying nothing but "Republicans Suck" every thirty seconds. The long gaps permitted the wild cheering from the audience.

But this parody is no longer parody. And it's not just no-talent comedians engaging in DKos level thoughtlessness, but highly paid "experts" in high-profile positions at the major networks.
I just remember when I wrote a story meant to parody the leftist politics of the campus, meant to be over-the-top funny...and it fell flat because it was too true-to-life. I had guys using a meatball cannon to pelt campus leftoids of the "Students For The Ethical Treatment of Furred People", and to top that I had the characters drop an exploding cow, rigged with fireworks, from a DC-3 into the middle of a follow-up demonstration--a real dead cow carcass, rigged to split down the middle and launch fireworks into the air while playing "Stars and Stripes Forever"...and it wasn't funny because it ended up being too accurate a depiction of actual campus liberals.

So I can understand how this could have happened on South Park, because it's already happened to me.

* * *

Climatology! Both from Borepatch:

A discussion of the urban heat island effect and why it matters when disuccing climate records. Anyone who doesn't believe in the urban heat island effect can be taught differently with one thirty-minute ride in a convertible with the top down on a late summer night.

I discovered it years ago. It had been a warm day when I had driven the MGB to my friend's house in a neighboring town; but after the sun went down it got cooler outside, naturally. When I drove home some time after midnight, I was chilly and had to turn the heater on full blast to keep from freezing my butt off...until I got into town here and the air around me got noticeably warmer.

(Eh? "Just put the top up"? Raising or lowering the top of a late model MGB is a fourteen step process. It doesn't take more than five minutes if you're used to it, but why raise the top for a clear night? Roll up the windows and turn the heater on; the damned thing's got an industrial-strength heater for a reason....)

The other link is about the end of the global warming gravy train.

The first problem is how expensive "renewable" energy is, and what the results are:
Supporters of giant wind farms and huge solar installations are full of happy talk about "clean energy," "free energy," "replacing carbon sources," and other self-deceiving delusions. When their ideas are tried in the real world and allowed to play out for a decade or two, the end result is giant rusted junkyards of failed dreams.
Not to mention giant toxic waste pits in China, where the solar cells are made and the neodymium is mined to make rare-earth magnets.

And for all the efforts Germany has put into "renewable" energy? "German electric rates are twice the rates in the USA." Because the power has to come from somewhere, and making a commodity more scarce against fixed demand drives the price up. Germany shut down their nuclear plants after Fukushima happened, despite the fact that the tsunami that could knock out German power plants would end Europe (and probably civilization in its entirety) anyway. They also bought the Kyoto scam, hook line and sinker, so they're all up ons in the "carbon footprint" bullshit...and so they're paying out the anus for the kilowatt-hours.

I say "'carbon footprint' bullshit" advisedly, because of the second part of this: the fact that there has been no positive deviation in the global temperature anomaly for seventeen years despite continued increases in carbon emissions and a rising carbon dioxide fraction. We're over 400 PPM now, and the predicted concomitant rise in global temperatures simply has not happened.

This is because the models do not work.

Anthropogenic global warming (AGW) was predicted to occur because of human carbon emissions, and the computer models supported that theory based on...uh...modeling and stuff. Yeah. Data, you know, painstakingly input and normalized to demonstrate how an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide always results in runaway global warming. Anyway all our models say the same thing, and all us climatologists agree that human carbon emissions are causing global warming.

The biggest problem with any computer model is that it is only as good as the knowledge of the person who constructs the model. The climate model which assumes that solar output is constant--when it is emphatically not--is already not an accurate depiction of reality; certainly it's not even accurate enough even to approximate a chaotic system like Earth's climate.

The issue of the sun's variability isn't in question; it's well-documented. We know it has an 11-year cycle, a 40-year cycle, and even a 200-year cycle; there may be others we haven't seen simply because we've only been looking at it for 400 years. At solar maxima the atmosphere is warmer, and we know that because it expands enough to knock things out of very low orbits. (Like Skylab.) None of this is news.

...except to climatologists, who insist that solar insolation is constant (at about a kilowatt per square meter of Earth's surface) and never varies.

And the solar insolation variable is just one of the many that climatologists ignore. Earth's overall reflectivity--albedo--is also variable. Water vapor comprises up to 5% of Earth's atmosphere and its behavior is staggeringly complex, going from liquid to solid to vapor to gas to liquid all in the same cloud; the behavior of water vapor is dependent on temperature and wind and solar insolation and a host of other variables, such that there isn't enough computing hardware in the world to model the effects of water vapor on Earth's albedo, let alone the temperature of its atmosphere, so--again--the climatologists substitute a constant which is, at best, a poor approximation of reality. (And which is usually no approximation at all, but instead a number which is impossibly, hopelessly wrong.)

Given conditions in 1800 and all relevant historical data, the typical climate model (which our climatologists say prove AGW) will not reflect reality, not even a vague approximation of it. By their own admission, climatologists have to throw away model runs where the output is an asymptotic curve (rising or descending to infinity) which is clearly and patently impossible for Earth. (Given that it has never happened, that is. Earth has been much warmer and much colder than it is now, but it never turned into Venus or Pluto.)

(Hoth, yes. Dune, maybe. But note that those SF worlds are still habitable compared with Venus.)

The models failed to predict reality because they were not a faithful model of reality but instead were ad hoc approximations with more constants and number fudging than actual modeling. (Like Mann's "Hockey Stick", which could detect a rising trend in white noise.)

"I get the distinct impression that politicians are angry, because they think that they've been played for suckers," Borepatch says. I get the impression that the politicians are angry because they thought "proven!" meant actual proven natural law and not "well, we all agree on this." Politicians wanted the control that AGW implied was necessary, but since AGW wasn't real the politicians no longer have the lever they hoped they had. Losing the hopes of total power over the economy is what has angered them.

* * *

A second interview with Best Buy (for a different, but similar, position to the first one) appears to have yielded similar fruit, though I won't know for certain until tomorrow or Saturday.

On the plus side, I was able to use that interview to get a better feel for what they want and what kind of job descriptions I should search for that would be more in line with what they think I can do for them; and this time I got an even stronger impression that I would probably get hired if I were to apply for a job that concentrated on computers, rather than home theater.

...apparently a lot of their PC techs work from home, which is...interesting. They do a lot of their work on-line; in other words, they sit at home and remote into client computers to diagnose and fix software issues, and they only roll a tech out to the site if there's a hardware problem.

That would be pretty cool. It would probably mean that I would have to have a "work" computer, but at the interview I was also told they supply their techs with tools and uniforms--so who knows?

I spent some time chatting with the interviewers and discussing the various possibilities, and left there feeling pretty good about my performance. Afterwards, I went to Fry's for a brief look-see, mainly to price 2 GB memory modules. I wasn't encouraged by what I saw there, but I'm still seeing them for $26 shipped via Pricewatch.com. I wanted to spend some time looking at components but my gut started acting like it was going to enter blowdown mode, and I figured it would be better to get home and have it happen there than do a full browse of the store and have the warp core breach occur while I was on the road between oases.

Jeep has approximated 20 MPG, which is not surprising with two 100-mile trips on the tankful. (50 up, 50 down.) Still, I'd like to attribute some of the MPG gain to the $10 worth of fuel system cleaner I dumped into the tank before I filled it on the 12th.

...and today's the 26th of September. The third quarter of 2013 is nearly over. FFFFFUUUUU--
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